What Now for Rory McIlroy?

Windows are a convenient metaphor for life and sports. In the broadest sense we are living in our own window of time and while the premise of where we are on our journey presumes how open or to what degree it may be closing is forever precarious. So much of where that metaphorical window is within the prism of a sports life is largely a physical proposition because historical actuary tables have always been a reliable guidebook. The physical being the greater indicator of how much longer because there are only so many hits a running back’s body can endure, how many more trips 94 feet for the knees of an NBA star and how many more 98 mph fastballs on the black for the arm of a major league pitcher. Too often the windows close so abruptly that the aging process appears in warp speed from one training camp to the next. But what of the mind? How can the intellectual and psychological elasticity of the mind elongate or shrink the sports windows of greatness?

I proceeded to call it Rory’s Rubicon five years into his quest for the career grand slam at The Masters which was also running concurrently with his pursuit of any major title. The longer it went the wider the mental river felt, and the psychological current was only getting stronger. He entered the space of four majors by 25 years of age in 2014 and pulled up a chair to a pristine tall top with two occupants, Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods. The presumption that his fifth would come fairly soon was not a cavalier position, it made sense, tons of sense. When it didn’t, he was not only distancing himself from Jack and Tiger, who went from four to five major victories in a year and a month respectively, he was methodically distancing himself from every historical player who reached at least five majors on the odometer. The average time taken to achieve the feat has been two and a half years. When he closed the book of a decade without a major victory at the site of his last, the 2014 PGA, he had also endured a flurry of gut-wrenching losses in 2022 at the Open Championship, the 2023 U.S. Open and the deepest cut, the 2024 U.S. Open at Pinehurst. As he entered 2025, he was embarking on year 11 without a major victory, the same gap of time that Tiger Woods experienced from the 2008 U.S. Open, major win number 14, and the 2019 Masters, the 15th and most certainly final major win of his mind-numbing career.

Tiger and Rory are different, in so many ways. However, the historical gap of almost the identical period of time between 14 and 15 for Tiger and 4 and 5 for Rory demands an examination. While much is not comparable the human condition is in play and that’s where we get to what now? Tiger was never someone to display or likely possess any self-consciousness on the golf course. First, what about his life in golf would have made him self-conscious? Self-assured? Check. Self-belief? Check, check. The most astonishing display of the power of his mind to refuse even a scintilla of self-consciousness was the 2010 Masters. Up until the end of the major championship season of 2009 he was throwing a perfect game of closing golf tournaments when he got himself out in front and then Y.E. Yang happened at Hazeltine in August of 2009 and his preposterous perfecto was broken up. It was going to be a historical footnote and then Thanksgiving happened, and he found himself on the back page of New York tabloids for three straight weeks. A golfer! Not Madonna, not Brittany, not Shia LaBeouf. Helicopter footage was more valuable than the yet to be relied upon pro tracer. When Tiger turned up at the 2010 Masters, he was even scolded by the chairman of Augusta National Golf Club. He finished 4th that week. 4th? Take your self-conscious dime store psychobabble and shove it. I know the category for greatest 4th place finishes in majors is not a big category, although the “No Laying Up” boys could somehow make it a four-part series and it would be compelling, and I would listen, but there’s no second or third place. Conversely, as Rory has been trying to walk through fire and broken glass to win any major, he consciously and comfortably has shared the psychological journey of self-examination, self-reflection while also clearly exhibiting with even some modest degree a level of fragility that it’s clear that self-consciousness is along for this turbulent yet rewarding pursuit.

This is where the road may fork, or maybe it won’t. Tiger’s climb to 15 in totality was much more about the physical than the mental, but it does factor. A decade of injury and surgery had compromised him to the role of spot starter, but 2018 was the big build to reentering the caldron starting with The Open Championship in July, the final round 64 to put his hot breath on the back of Brooks Koepka’s neck in August at the PGA and then win number 80 at the Tour Championship with a Bob Jones like 18th coronation at East Lake. Who was riding in the sidecar that day?Rory. He saw Tiger climb to “A” summit for the first time in years, not THE summit but one, nonetheless.

Climbing requires all athletes to get comfortable in the thinnest air and even though Tiger lived there comfortably for years it had been some time since he had completely outlasted all the others to plant his flag on the last hole. One additional footnote, right before Tiger showed up at the 2019 Masters, he clipped Rory at the now defunct match play in Austin. One more little piece of Kevlar to fortify Tiger’s mind and maybe debilitate Rory’s. Tiger’s march to major 15 was a gut-wrenching, gut check on every hole culminating with a wobbly 5 on the last to cross the tape AGAIN. He survived.

When Tiger completed the career grand slam at the Old Course in July of 2000 it was after he had already won majors by 12 and 15 shots. Nonetheless, many historians and intellectual golf observers believe his Open.

Championship win, major number four and the first of his three career grand slams was his Opus. All the way down to him calling shots with Steve Williams as he was picking out church spires in the town of St. Andrews and painting brush strokes with his fairway metals coming home on the inward nine at the Old Course. While Tiger’s completion of his first career slam was a virtuoso, Rory’s was a mash up of an episode of ‘MacGyver”, “Jackass”, “Survivor”, and ultimately the “Bourne Ultimatum”. But Rory’s fifth and his own slam possessed similar texture to Tiger’s 15th both after more than a decade without any. So, what now again?

Tiger was an old 43 in 2019, and Rory is an injury free, vibrant, sturdy and physically intact soon to be 36-year-old. But this now gets to the mind, the place Rory has done as much work as he has on his wedge play. The digs at Rory have endured whether he’s been privy to the extent of the noise about his inability to close majors over the past years or not. Here’s one thing he unequivocally is… aware. Even though he broke through his decade-long vortex to claim his green jacket, the circuitous, calamitous and dizzying way he got there has permitted a subtle uncurrent of cynicism to persist inside the golf ecosystem. Let’s extinguish that as best we can, knowing that cynics struggle to exist without cynicism pulsating through their veins. Few elite players have not voiced the unmatched pressure Rory was navigating and many believe no player has ever carried more into a final round in their lives and we could go further back but that’s sufficient enough context for now.

The Sunday duality of fatalism and heroism Rory displayed was exhausting and exhilarating. Each fragile moment was followed by an exhibition of big stinkin’ onions culminating with his second into the first playoff hole which followed Justin Rose applying ungodly heat on Rory to answer after his feeble five to finish regulation. Resilience doesn’t need a literary definition any longer in Webster’s it just needs a full-page fold-out of Rory on his knees on the 18th green after his long anguish-filled odyssey was over. Stoicism teaches that life should not be viewed as merely successes or failures but merely outcomes. The problem with that is that life is more fun only thinking about the good results. What’s fun about simulating failure? Rory has leaned on and been held upright by “the process” but even the sturdiest man would likely be crippled by the public de-boning and fileting Rory has suffered like a Dover sole most recently at Pinehurst last June.

The phrase it’s darkest before the dawn is poignant and practical and coined by Thomas Fuller in a poem in 1650. What wasn’t dark about the 1650’s? Rory reached his summit after being blown back to base camp with a kick to the teeth repeatedly. Each time, he persisted in beginning his ascent to that far off place, and in the case of Augusta National and his slam, a place no one has planted their career slam flag with all due respect to Gene Sarazen. Sarazen likely did not know he was in a playoff with Craig Wood until he finished that day in 1935 and really didn’t know what his win in the Augusta National Invitation meant until years and years later when the Masters was actually called The Masters and it was associated with the platinum quartet of golf’s greatest titles.

So, now that Rory has gone to that place where only five other men in the last 90 years speak the same language is he susceptible to what the human condition can do to all of us or is he liberated to pursue so much more now because he has been unshackled by what most have termed a burden for years now? The turnaround is swift. When the majors took on a new cadence starting in 2019, the year of Tiger’s 5th Masters title, it meant the majors would suffer no lag between major one and two each year. Four in four months and Tiger naturally was not equipped to begin another ascent so soon after breaking his own decade-plus long major drought at Bethpage. Brooks Koepka was amped to remind him that he had overcome his own 12th hole rinsing at Augusta in April of 2019 with an opening round 63 in the PGA with Tiger in his group. Rory will have his bounce because he was already arguably the biggest star who plays regularly and now he’s achieved something that many of the top players and the younger demographic who follow golf have never witnessed in their lives, a career grand slam.

He also returns to Quail Hollow which was the site of his first career PGA Tour title with a final round 62 in 2010 days before his 21st birthday. Since then, he’s added three additional wins at Quail Hollow including last year when he turned a two-shot deficit to Xander Schauffele on the 8th tee into a five-shot victory by undressing Quail’s inward nine. It’s his happiest haunt and his relationship with Quail Hollow extends beyond his mastery of the persistently changing golf course. It’s personal at Quail Hollow like it is for him at Augusta National. He has deep personal relationships at both places and actually attended the 2022 Presidents Cup incognito as an example of his affinity for the Harris family and the membership. Quail is simply what’s next and Oakmont and Royal Portrush make sense for Rory to contend but this is about much more than 2025.

Erosion is normally not something that gets your attention immediately. Over time you examine the way something once appeared and then years later it’s simply not the same. Complacency is similar. It’s subtle and only time will reveal the slightest easing off of one’s pursuit and the accompanying results that are marginally or dramatically impacted by the human condition. Achieve the greatest feats you possibly can especially if the pursuit is elongated, and it would be understandable if your mind found ways to rest. However, that arduous pursuit that hardened Rory McIlroy and taught him about how to find progress during moments of disappointment will likely override a sense of the job being completed. He’s always been a curious sort and it’s far more likely that his curiosity about what now will be the driving force for whatever is next.

The Card – Volume LV

18 observations, thoughts and predictions for the week in golf…

 

  1. Royal Dornoch was everything I was hoping it would be.  The town square was charming, the new clubhouse being constructed behind the 18th green and in closer proximity to the water will usher in a new era for the club and fortify it for the future.  Getting to play the golf course in different winds over the course of three days allowed for an even better understanding of how the golf course changes and the people were fantastic.  
  1. There is a line at Dornoch about how difficult the second shot is at the second hole, a par 3.  Suggesting that the greens raised position and narrower entry make it very hard to hit the green in regulation. Part of me wishes the hole was later in the round because of how good it is and the exacting nature of the shot from the tee regardless of the wind direction, but the hole is wonderful.  We saw a front right pin, a middle left, and a back pin, just three paces from the rear of the green.  The fall offs left and right are pronounced but full of options.  The 8th and 17th are blind tee shots with options to stay on the plateau or drive it down to the lower fairway with a much shorter second but both holes are wonderful.  Finally, the blend of holes from 12 through 17 is superior with a celebration of contrast in look and distance.
  1. I’m not associated with “Links House” the boutique hotel right next to Royal Dornoch where we stayed the first four nights of our trip, so this endorsement is not motivated by anything other than to share how wonderful it is.  Each building is different but all of them are so beautifully appointed, and the service and warmth is world class.  The food was outstanding in their quant restaurant, Mara, and the library where we watched the Presidents Cup and college football games on Saturday night is a space to spend days reading and talking.  It’s simply one of the best hotels regardless of size I’ve ever stayed at, and it enhanced our trip immeasurably.
  1. Andrew Carnegie chose to spend ample time in the Highlands of Scotland and actually took some golf lessons from the legendary John Sutherland at Dornoch.  He also purchased nearby Skibo castle and increased the size of the original structure to three times its previous footprint.  Spending a day and night at the Carnegie Club allowed us to play the Carnegie course.  The setting with natural water features, mountain ranges in every direction and the castle in the distance is sublime.  The lower holes closer to the nearby loch are the ones that need a re-examination.  The 7th and 8th holes are both short par fours, but the fairways are virtually nonexistent, and they should be redone.  The holes in the “meadow” on leveler ground are aesthetically pleasing and overall, it’s an asset to the Highlands region.  Ellis Short, the owner for 22 years, is determined to make the golf course the best it can be and the 8000-acre estate is a reflection of obscene wealth then and now.
  1. Returning to Gullane for the first time in two decades was a hoot.  The number #1 course was loved by my traveling crew and the beauty of the holes on the other side of the hill can hang with anything in Scotland.  The 12th hole is one of the most pleasing holes in the world.  From the back tee looking back toward Muirfield and the Renaissance Club and then playing along the daunting dunes the hole is art. 
  1. North Berwick is one of the best, endearing and fun golf courses in the world.  Playing with a long-time member it is frightening how much costal erosion the golf course has experienced and will continue to unless something very significant is done.  When you turn for home the large dunes that used to insulate holes 11, 12 and 13 have been diminished and despite fortifying the shoreline in recent years the vulnerability of the course is evident.  North Berwick is now the wealthiest town in Scotland, and it shows.  The homes along the outward nine are regal but the holes are the show.  It has it all and I would pick it among a select few to play the rest of my days.
  1. I’ve always had a special fondness for Muirfield and you can read my thoughts on the day there with my boys at www.5Clubsgolf.com but needless to say its ascended into a place in my mind and heart previously unoccupied by any golf course.
  1. This is my final overall thought about returning to Scotland for a week with lifelong friends.  I assumed the responsibility of driving the entire trip.  I drove from Edinburgh to Dornoch and back to East Lothian for the back half of our journey and I’m thankful that I was required to pay attention to where we were going.  The drive into the highlands was therapeutic and similar to earlier drives this year across Oregon and from Indiana to northern Michigan. I was locked in on the destination while appreciating the journey simultaneously.  What a gift.
  1. Sanderson Farms announced this week, the report delivered by Todd Lewis of Golf Channel, that they will stay on for an additional year as the title sponsor for the event in Jackson, Mississippi.  I hope the decision makes sense for them, but it is the latest example that 2025 is going to be the final year of what the schedule currently looks like for the PGA Tour.  It does not mean that fall events will not be a part of 2026, but the tides appear to be shifting into a more dramatic reconstructive direction.
  1. Kyle Porter has been writing and opining at CBS Sports for over a decade, but he announced this week he is breaking away with a new newsletter, Normal Sport, which included part one of a two-part conversation with Rory McIlroy.  I applaud anyone with the belief to leave maybe more comfort and security to pursue something that may be more fulfilling but is associated with greater risk.  Kyle will be my guest on Monday night on 5 Clubs on the SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio to discuss the move and his conversation with Rory.
  1. The state of South Carolina is enjoying an embarrassment of new and widely talked about golf courses coming online in the Palmetto state.  Broomsedge east of Columbia is ready for its big opening in addition to Tree Farm and Old Barnwell embarking on their second seasons with additional assets like lodging soon to be available for members and guests.  Old Sawmill, designed by Tyler Rae has begun construction and the Kiawah Island club is adding their third golf course outside the resort gates being designed by Beau Welling.  Plus, the 21 Club is a provocative project of 36 holes from King/Collins in the Aiken area and Coore/Crenshaw are building an additional course at Palmetto Bluff.  South Carolina is going to be very DEEP.
  1. I recommend the article from John Huggan in Golf Digest on the impact and role of Johann Rupert in men’s professional golf.  A global business magnate, Rupert is the host of the Dunhill Links Championship and has been a champion for golf and South Africans in the game for decades.  His reputation and voice with every important entity in the professional game make him the ideal stealth conduit to more harmony.
  1. The Dunhill, as a stated last week is one of the great events in golf annually but this year it wins the award for being the most inclusive event in men’s professional golf for 2024.  The size of the field, but with Johann Rupert running point, reflected what events can and should look like again.  The combination of a few top Americans from the PGA Tour, the standard bearers of the DP World Tour and many LIV players was refreshing to see.  I’ll say it again, it should be a co-sanctioned event with the PGA and DP World Tours. 
  1. The sight of Jay Monahan playing alongside Yasir Al-Rumayyan of the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia was a nice photo op but the additional power players in the game and industry also being present has made the Dunhill Links the fall meeting of the weightiest voices in golf.  This past week only amplifies that the Ryder Cup will include anyone and everyone who can help the respected sides.
  1. Kingsbarns is part of the rotation for the Dunhill Links and Kyle Phillips has a great resume and reputation, but I would argue his construction and design of the course down the road from the St. Andrews will be his greatest triumph.  It has rightfully received praise since opening over two decades ago and the course and facility are impeccable.  The views of the North Sea and the natural presentation is a magnificent accomplishment.
  1. Wenyi Ding won the Asia pacific amateur championship one year after losing in a playoff.  The 19-year-old from China is the fifth ranked amateur in the world and is projected to make the transition to professional golf nicely.  He is also the #1 ranked amateur in the global amateur pathway ranking and that position would make him fully exempt on the DP World Tour next season, similar model to PGA Tour U.  It’s his journey and no one would begrudge him at all if he started his professional career immediately, however, you can be certain that Augusta National Golf Club and the Masters Tournament and to a lesser degree the R&A, which offers a spot in the Open Championship, to the winner will be disappointed if Ding passes on a Masters invitation.  
  1. Tyrell Hatton became the first player to win the Dunhill Links for the third time.  Hatton had reached his loftiest perch in the men’s game when he left in the aftermath of the Jon Rahm departure for LIV.  To have the type of record his has over the Old Course as well as Kingsbarns and Carnoustie is historic.  Europe is coming to Bethpage to win a road game and you can book Hatton being on that side as a phenomenal irritant, and also, sadly, a target for fans because of his demonstrative personality on the course.
  1. An itinerary this coming week for team 5 Clubs that includes Piping Rock, National Golf Links, Friars Head, Shinnecock and Maidstone and you can expect some videos and reflections from Long Island and the Great Gatsby trail this coming week.  I call it research.