The Card – Volume XL

18 observations, thoughts and predictions for the week in golf…

 

  1. The tragic event that occurred early Friday morning outside Valhalla Golf Club that claimed the life of 69-year-old John Mills will forever be associated with the 2024 PGA Championship.  The retired Louisville native was working in a security capacity when he was struck by a shuttle bus at 5 AM crossing the street near the club and was pronounced dead on the scene.  The ensuing events involving Scottie Scheffler immediately overshadowed Mills death, which was the reason for the initial delay of play on Friday, but his passing is the most significant and saddest chapter in and around the 106th PGA Championship.
  1. The Scottie Scheffler arrest was extraordinary on many levels.  The fact that of all the players in the field who may have been navigating entry into the club under the tense circumstances of the morning the #1 player in the world being hastily detained and subsequently booked with four charges two-plus hours later was a bizarre narrative to follow.  ESPN’s Jeff Darlington, on site as a reporter, provided all the video evidence of the handcuffing of Scheffler in addition to his eyewitness account of the aftermath of the detaining.  According to Kevin Van Valkenburg of “No Laying Up” the charges will soon be dropped which, based on my conversations with lawyers since Friday was the likely outcome.  Additionally, the police report initially indicated that video footage was captured only for that to be changed with the disclosure from the Louisville mayor that the arresting officer’s bodycam was not activated.  As bizarre an episode as we have ever seen at a major championship outside of the ropes involving a player.
  1. As for the reaction of the golf world, sports world and beyond in real time and throughout Friday to the video images of Scheffler and the gratuitous mugshot, all the way down to the orange jumpsuit, what did anyone expect was going to happen on social media, despite the subtext of the fatality earlier in the morning?  To act surprised or appalled by the memes, GIF’s, and parodies immediately populating Twitter/X would suggest you haven’t been paying attention for the last decade.  A landscape of snark, pettiness, ugliness, humor, and comedy is not taking a pass on a top golfer being arrested regardless of the awful circumstance that preceded it.  Civility, reflection, and deference are endangered sentiments on social media platforms so to project outrage simultaneously suggest naivete.  Not being a party to it doesn’t also mean one had to act surprised that the people who cover the sport would be different from those covering the bizarre circumstances surrounding an incident in any other sport.  
  1. This always appeared to be Valhalla’s goodbye for now to major championship golf.  The PGA of America was incentivized to use Valhalla beginning with the 1996 PGA because of their financial position with the club.  That position no longer exists and their commitment to PGA Frisco for this championship beginning in 2027 and the other championships, KPMG Women’s PGA, Senior PGA, and PGA professional championship likely signals Valhalla’s exit from the major stage.  I expect the PGA to return to Chicago, specifically Medinah if the President Cup is deemed a success after the redo to course #3 by Geoff Ogilvy’s design firm.  I can also see a desire to identify a site in Florida possibly in the next ten years as well.  Virtually every area of the country is now in play with the May date and while Valhalla had big moments and great support from a fantastic fanbase the future of the PGA championship is not expected to include them in the rota.
  1. Jon Rahm’s missed cut at the PGA was a surprise to him and it followed a similar vibe to his defense of the Masters in April.  Posturing in a defensive way in his pre-tournament press conference when pressed on the LIV prep and his place on the LIV golf tour was followed with sharp criticism from on-site analysts and TV gasbags.  Rahm is inclined to digest the opinions of others and being there to watch his body language and tone indicated a guy not in the greatest headspace.  It’s two majors and Wyndham Clark also missed the cut following a missed cut at the Masters, but Clark is not the generational talent that Rahm is and therefore the measurement is not equal.  Jon is a past U.S. Open champion, but it may serve him to pass on the pre-U.S. Open presser at Pinehurst and just focus on the task at hand.  Rahm in the mix at majors makes it bigger and better and here’s hoping he gets in the mix next month in North Carolina.
  1. Tiger Woods had a short week punctuated by a very poor short game and a mini implosion to begin his second round which sent him immediately well outside the cut line and resigned to battling with pride like he’s inclined to do.  I never thought he would win again after the accident, and it wasn’t a “hot take” it was simply assessing the realities of age, inactivity and severe injury.  We have entered the long goodbye phase of his life on the stage.  It doesn’t mean that he won’t shoot a score and give us moments in majors over the next ten years if he continues to train and prepare as best he can but he’s not winning again.  It’s ok to say and it’s not an insult or a shot at the greatest player I’ve ever seen.  Reaching for comparisons to Jack at the Masters in 1998 at 58 or Tom Watson at 59 in 2009 are excluding the greatest element that separates these men and that is careers uninterrupted by significant injury.  I hope Tiger plays in many more majors and garners plenty of invites to the U.S. Open and his results will never diminish the extraordinary moments and historic feats he achieved.
  1. ESPN personnel does one event a year in full and it’s the PGA Championship.  Its challenging to convene a large group of voices spread out over a golf course and have cohesion and chemistry and ESPN pulls it off in large measure because their host is a generational technical broadcaster but an even better conversationalist.  Scott Van Pelt can handle chaos, calm, and calamity with ease, and he has deep roots in the game from the early years at Golf Channel.  He’s an ideal host for a long flowing broadcast that welcomes the casual viewer.  SVP is ESPN’s MVP.
  1. Michael Block couldn’t possibly have maxed out his performance in the 2023 PGA Championship any more than he has over the last year.  Tournament invites, sponsorship opportunities, commercials, voiceover work, celebrity outings and culminating with the honor of striking the opening tee shot in the championship this year.  We are a society determined to choke the charm out of most everything and his memorable week last year was no exception.  He went from loved to being loathed before he left Rochester.  It’s a fascinating study in navigating instant fame while taking advantage of opportunities one never dreamed about.  Michael is a fine player and I expect him back in the field next year at Quail Hollow.  The Block party may have gotten quieter but it’s not shutdown altogether.
  1. Phil Mickelson has kept a very low pre-major championship profile over the last two years since embarking on his journey with LIV golf.  He was once the man under the big top regaling the media with pre-tournament thoughts and observations but that is not the case anymore.  Off his missed cut in the PGA, which he won in 2021, he heads to Pinehurst 25 years after his first close call in the U.S. Open.  His relationship through the years with the USGA has been contentious and you wonder if he would be a willing participant on any retrospective of that memorable first U.S. Open at Pinehurst and the tragic death of Payne Stewart three months later.  Phil will always be a huge part of that chapter of the U.S. Open at Pinehurst, and I can only hope efforts have been made by the USGA and its broadcast partner NBC to get his reflections.  
  1. When Rory McIlroy left Valhalla ten years ago he had four majors and two of them were PGA Championships.  He leaves Valhalla this week with four majors and his best result in the PGA, the one built best for him, with his best result since 2014 being a tie for 7th last year.  Be presumptuous about the game of golf at your own risk.
  1. Jordan Spieth told me a month after he won the Open Championship in 2017 and right after Justin Thomas’ first PGA title, that winning the PGA would be the hardest one for him to win not because it would mean the career grand but because the set ups were not necessarily suited to his strengths.  His results since have produced one top 10 and that was a distant tie 3rd at Bethpage in 2019.  At the beginning of the year, I believed Pinehurst offered a good shot for him to contend again at the U.S. Open.  Since winning it in 2015 his best finish is a tie for 19th in 2021.  His improved driving with the width of #2 and his depth short game are a match, but lingering wrist issues have me hedging four weeks out.
  1. Brooks Koepka went in reverse on Saturday at the PGA with a round of 74 and a bounce back on Sunday kept him outside the top 20 for the week.  He expressed continued frustration with the results in the first two majors and he heads to Pinehurst with distant fond memories of his first top 4 in a major in 2014.  He knows best that the opportunities are precious, and he has built his brand about being one of the true few who can thrive in the major heat.  Two weak results down, two left in 2024.
  1. Two more rounds of 62 in a major within a year of the two last June at the U.S. Open take the total now to five rounds of 62 and now in three of the four major championships.  Only Augusta National has been spared the distinction with it being a par of 72.  61 was threatened by Shane Lowry on Saturday at Valhalla and the cat calls for an asterisk were ringing out on social media if his birdie putt fell.  Don’t imagine the cries for an * will be as pronounced if that number is in the crosshairs on the next trip to the Open Championship at the Old Course.
  1. Nelly Korda begins a new streak with her win at the Mizuho LPGA at Liberty National.  That’s six wins in her last seven starts and her march to a monster and historic year rolls on to the U.S. Women’s Open at Lancaster Country Club.  Her next stage will only get bigger and it’s the most monumental major in the women’s game.
  1. Viktor Hovland was so lost heading into the PGA Championship he admitted to Jason Sobel on SiriusXM after his third round that he contemplated not playing at Valhalla.  After a resuscitating performance that coincided with him reuniting with his swing coach Joe Mayo, Hovland re-emerges heading to his defense at Memorial and then onto the U.S. Open.  He was the dude coming into 2024 and just like that Viktor is that guy again.  Give talent time, it’ll return, and Joe Mayo just bumped his retainer. 
  1. Xander Schauffele has been a plow mule of production since he found his footing on the PGA Tour in 2018.  He has consistently gotten himself into the deep and of the pool in majors with two 2nds and two 3rds coming into this week.  His absence from the winner’s circle since the summer of 2022 seems inexplicable.  After getting lapped by Rory McIlroy last week, he might have been jolted.  Instead, he went wire to wire on a golf course giving up preposterous scoring and outlasted an outstanding leaderboard.  It’s dangerous to use the word “inevitable” but with Xander it certainly seemed likely.  Pursuing speed is not always a cautionary tale and his work with Chris Como has paid off with a major.  Bravo.
  1. Bryson DeChambeau is great TV.  I’m not imploring anyone to change their viewpoint on him, that’s what viewpoints are, they are to each his own.  However, I think it’s undeniable that he’s unique, provocative, captivating and just plain different, and on that landscape, different stands out.  His major performances are positively trending.
  1. Pinehurst is next and introduces itself as an official U.S. Open anchor site for the first time in June.  Interesting list of players to identify as the best without a major since Xander is now off the board.  Take a pick, I’ll take Viktor, once again.

The Card – Volume XXXIX

18 observations, thoughts and predictions for the week in golf…

 

  1. Wells Fargo put a bow on their sponsorship of one of the best events on the PGA Tour.  Born in 2003 as the Wachovia Championship I’ve covered every one of them except for the win by Max Homa in Potomac, Maryland.  They got Tiger in their second year and immediately became one of the premier events in professional golf.  The PGA Tour is headed to a new sponsor, reports are it is Truist, another financial institution, and they are likely to manage the event themselves with their new championship management arm.  They have a HUGE act to follow.  They are fortunate to have the Harris family and a great venue in Quail Hollow, who will host the PGA next year, and will likely head to Philadelphia in 2025 before returning to Charlotte in 2026.
  1. A delightful joy this past Sunday morning at 7 AM was going into Poppy’s bagels in Charlotte and seeing a gaggle of Dads with bedhead ushering around their sons with even better bedhead.  Sleepy Sunday morning rituals with fathers and sons doing a rudimentary chore for the rest of the house.  And surprisingly, as a Jersey guy, Poppy’s has legit good bagels.
  1. The greeting card section of your local grocery store is quite the scene on Mother’s Day at 8 AM. Desperate husbands rummaging through what’s left of the Mother’s Day cards.  Settling for cards from aunts and uncles as a pitiful display of trying to salvage the day before it begins.  Men are all goalies just looking for one more kick save and a beauty.  I wasn’t observing by accident.
  1. Nelly Korda’s streak of wins in a row ends at five but not before she turned heads at the Met Gala in New York City.  The LPGA remains in Jersey as they head to Liberty National, but they also run into the second men’s major this week.  The interest in Nelly has been amplified and any win keeps the momentum going in the right direction.
  1. Rose Zhang is a potential superstar and in the absence of Nelly winning her sixth event in a row, Rose winning, especially with her returning this week to the site of her first win, is a tremendous consolation prize for the LPGA.  Zhang is totally equipped to handle attention since she’s been receiving it for years and jumping on a zoom with “No Laying Up” after the win was smart on her part and the tour’s.  Zhang’s battle with Madelene Sagstrom was excellent entertainment and Sagstrom’s post round interviews were endearing and graceful.
  1. Blades Brown kept the teen trend rolling this week.  Brown, 16 years old from Nashville, TN not only made the cut at the Myrtle Beach Classic he finished in a tie for 26th at 10 under par.  Following the made cut performances of Miles Russell, 15 years old, on the Korn Ferry Tour and Kris Kim, 16 years old, at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson last week you can expect the kids to receive additional sponsor exemptions before the summer is over and they must go back for their next year of high school.  There is an abundance of talent all over the world but to see three teenagers display the refined skill of scoring in events that demanded low scores to simply make the cut is widely impressive.
  1. The disclosure from Rory McIlroy this past Wednesday that he will not be re-joining the PGA Tour policy board was shared freely by McIlroy.  The defense from the tour that they were simply adhering to their own governance appears duplicitous considering Tiger Woods received a board seat out of thin air.  Subsequently, the next day we learned that Rory is now part of a subcommittee that will advise and participate in the discussions with the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia.  Finally, Rory and commissioner Jay Monahan met on Saturday after Rory’s bogey free third round of the Wells Fargo Championship and the nature of that conversation was likely not Rory’s gameplan for the final round.  What might have been perceived as potential distractions for McIlroy in a tournament week clearly were not and it also should clear the way for Rory to avoid being bombarded about all those items this week at Valhalla with a massive international media presence.
  1. The fourth Wells Fargo victory for McIlroy will do two things at minimum.  First, it furthers Rory’s place in Charlotte golf history and specifically Quail Hollow as the greatest professional champion in its history going back to the Kemper Open.  Like Ben Hogan at Colonial, Tiger Woods at Bay Hill, Torrey Pines and Firestone, Rory is building a library of memories at Quail Hollow.  It was always destined to be his happiest haunt with the freedom to hit driver everywhere and to take lines off the tee others simply cannot and the partisan crowds has made Charlotte Rory’s town.
  1. Being able to walk with McIlroy during his pro-am round on Wednesday and then follow him each day allowed me to gain real context as to the state of his game.  His fairways hit percentages may have been modest, but his misses were miniscule.  He missed the 16th fairway three of the four days but that was a result of flying the right fairway bunker that is now 330 yards from the tee and each day he hit a wedge into the par 4 that now measures north of 520 yards.  His iron play was very solid and his second shots into 9 on Saturday and Sunday were outstanding.  Additionally, his tee shots on the par 3 13th in the 3rd and final rounds were also the weight and shape he was calling on which are great indicators for the PGA.  Finally, seeing the number of fine short shots he executed which include his 4th on 15 on Saturday, the 2nd on 8 on Sunday and his holed bunker shot for eagle on Sunday are strong indicators that his efficiency around the green is buttoned for a major test this week.
  1. Scottie Scheffler, Brooks Koepka and Rory arrive in Louisville off wins.  For Rory it’s his last two starts which include a team win with Shane Lowery.  For Koepka it was his fourth career win on LIV and it was a 54 hole win in Singapore a week ago.  Scheffler as we know has won his last two starts but he’s now three weeks removed from competitive golf with the birth of he and his wife Meredith’s first child.  Scheffler mas won several events off more than a week of rest and his absence has not altered his position as the betting favorite and rightfully so.  Fans have bemoaned the absence of stars from the winner’s circle in 2024 but Scottie’s streak since March and Rory’s sudden streak coupled with a Koepka win give the PGA some juice heading into the week.
  1. The captain of the International Presidents Cup team, Mike Weir, had to be pleased with the final leaderboard at Quail Hollow.  Ben An, Sung Jae Im, Jason Day, Mackenzie Hughes, Taylor Pendrith and Corey Connors all finished in the top 13.  I firmly believe we could see a Canadian Power pod of players in Montreal with up to five players representing the host nation with Korea also possibly having their own pod.  
  1. Chris Gotterup won the Myrtle Beach Classic for his first PGA Tour win.  He propelled himself to 67th in the Fedex Cup Standings and validated what many believed about him when he turned pro after a stellar career at Oklahoma.  Gotterup has a Brooks Koepka vibe to him, self-assured, brawny and the mind of an athlete.  Add the mustache and the bling and you have a dude with a distinctive look.  I’m going to root for any guy with Jersey roots, but Gotterup has the goods.  Jim McGovern, Bill Britton and Morgan Hoffman should be proud.
  1. The PGA should provide a ton of runway for Golf Channel to unleash Johnson Wagner at Valhalla throughout the week re-creating and re-visiting important and dubious moments from each day’s play.  Wags has become a favorite of the content creating outfits in the game and golf’s own version of WWJD is now the rage.  His re-enactment/explanation of the Xander Schauffele drop in round 1 of the Wells Fargo was a virtuoso performance.  Johnson will also serve as the lead analyst on SiriusXM for the PGA with the radio legend Brian Katrik serving in a role he has mastered as play-by-play host of the radio broadcast alongside a fabulous on-air team and production team.
  1. Jordan Spieth was inside the top 5 of the Wells Fargo Championship with four holes to go in the 2nd round and then a series of poor iron shots saw him double bogey the 17th hole and bogey 18.  He stumbled to a round of 76 in the 3rd round and finished the week in a tie for 29th.  Following for portions of his final round, Jordan was doing an inordinate amount of muttering and audibly appealing to his caddie Michael Greller.  The continued issues with his left wrist make his quest for the PGA and the career grand slam to be a true longshot in 2024.
  1. Speaking of longshots, Tiger Woods returns to the scene of one of his most iconic major moments and scintillating major victories, the 2000 PGA win in the playoff with Bob May.  The walk in/finger point in the playoff is a top 5 Tiger image and his first two rounds with Jack Nicklaus was a true torch pass in the game.  He arrived early in Louisville, and he will do what he does, battle on every shot.  I’m going to lean that he misses this cut.  The walk MIGHT be more arduous than Augusta National and while there would be zero surprise if he plays the weekend, I think Pinehurst is his best shot for a good week.
  1. This is the likely swansong for Valhalla and the PGA and major championships.  I could see a tour event including a FedEx Cup playoff event being held at Valhalla but the PGA of America has built their own anchor site in Frisco, Texas and the landscape is littered with willing venues especially with the May date.  The golf course has too many forgettable holes, but it has delivered big moments on the big Kentucky ballpark.  Here’s hoping David Novak and his ownership team has a wonderful week.
  1. Let’s also hope the PGA of America was able to convince far more past champions to attend their champions dinner on Tuesday night.  The optics of the last couple dinners was weak.  These are elusive, historic and special clubs to be members of and I hope every effort is being made by the host organization and the past champions to be in attendance.
  1. I’m not overthinking the winner.  Its Scheffler.